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The Muslim World on the Verge of Destruction

The Muslim World on the Verge of Destruction

The Muslims had ruled over the world 1000 of years ago. They were at climax because of their firm belief at unity. They had firm belief on the Holy Quran but it is law of nature that everything that rises sees a downfall. As long as the Muslim stuck to their religion, they succeeded but when they abandoned their moral values, they suffered downfall.

Muslim Ummah currently passing from catastrophic period and the era of their destruction began when they commenced trusting their enemies, they suffered insurmountable loss.  If we look into the above issue with cool mind, it will dawn upon us that the disunity among the Muslim Ummah is the major cause of their decline. If we have a bird eye view of the current scenario, it will be revealed that the Muslims are fighting against their own Muslim brothers due to lack of unity.

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Counting the cost of Trump’s air war in Afghanistan

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The helicopters arrived shortly after midday and sent a rocket hurtling into an area at the back of the crowd where children were sitting.

As people began to flee, witnesses said, heavy machine gun fire followed them.

It was the latest deadly example of how a ferocious new air campaign against the Taliban has caused a spike in civilian casualties from US and Afghan air operations.

This Afghan Air Force attack on 2 April in north-eastern Kunduz province killed at least 36 people and injured 71, the UN says. Although witnesses said Taliban fighters and senior figures were in the crowd, 30 of those killed were children. Hundreds of people had gathered outside a madrassa in the Taliban-controlled district of Dasht-e-Archi to watch a group of students have turbans tied around their heads in a traditional ceremony to recognise their memorisation of the Holy Quran.

“I saw turbans, shoes, arms, legs and blood everywhere,” one local resident told the BBC the next day, describing the aftermath. Everyone in the area knew the event was happening, and many children, he said, had turned up for the free lunch that was about to be served.

Since President Trump announced his Afghanistan strategy and committed more troops to the conflict last August, the number of bombs dropped by the US Air Force has surged dramatically. New rules of engagement have made it easier for US forces to carry out strikes against the Taliban, and resources have shifted to Afghanistan as the fight against the Islamic State group in Syria and Iraq winds down.

Heavy bombing against the Taliban and IS saw more Afghan civilians killed and injured from the air in 2017 than at any time since the UN began counting in 2009. In the first quarter of this year – before the Dasht-e-Archi incident – 67 people were killed and 75 injured by the strikes, more than half of them women and children. There was no let-up in the bombardment even during the bitter Afghan winter, a time when fighting usually draws down before picking up again in the spring. At the same time, the US has launched a five-year plan to massively expand and overhaul the Afghan Air Force, including providing it with 159 Black Hawk helicopters. John W Nicholson, the top US general in Afghanistan, has pledged that a “tidal wave of air power” will be unleashed.

The aim of this air barrage, analysts say, is to try to push the Taliban to the negotiating table, and perhaps bring an end to America’s longest war – which has dragged on for 17 years. But when helicopters mow down children at a religious ceremony, as in Dasht-e-Archi, it raises significant questions for both Washington and Kabul, and supplies potent propaganda for the Taliban.

Although the Afghan government said the strikes targeted senior Taliban leaders planning an attack on Kunduz city, “those helicopter pilots must have seen the children”, says Kate Clark of the Kabul-based Afghanistan Analysts Network. “You can’t attack an open-air gathering in a helicopter and not see who you are going to kill.”

A grim conclusion, she added, is the possibility that the Afghan Air Force did not see those particular civilians as “their people”.

US Air Strikes in AFghanistanIn a 5 June report, the Afghanistan Independent Human Rights Commission said the attack was a “war crime”.

After initially denying that civilians had been killed, the Afghan government eventually apologised well over a month later and offered compensation to victims’ families. It has announced an investigation. “The key difference between the government and insurgents is that a legitimate government will always seek forgiveness for mistakes,” President Ashraf Ghani said.

Activists say the US also bears responsibility for such attacks carried out by Afghan air forces. “They train the pilots, the controllers, and they provide all the equipment,” said Patricia Gossman, the senior Afghanistan researcher at Human Rights Watch.

The Nato mission in Afghanistan, Resolute Support, said US and international forces had “no involvement” in the 2 April attack. While advisers “assist in the development of doctrine that guides the Afghan Air Force decision-making process”, a spokesperson said, they are not involved in decision-making for Afghan mission planning or targeting,

The spokesperson added: “Both the Afghan Air Force and US Forces-Afghanistan adhere to the International Laws of Armed Conflict. We constantly reiterate the importance of minimising civilian casualties, from operational planning, to targeting, to execution.

“Distinguishing military targets from civilian persons, limiting collateral damage, and using only proportional force are all assessed and applied prior to each strike.”

But Afghan forces are not the only ones that make mistakes: US bombs killed at least 154 civilians in 2017, according to the UN mission in Afghanistan, while the Afghan Air Force killed 99.

Observers say that about a decade ago international forces made a concerted effort to bring down civilian casualties from air strikes. Then Afghan President Hamid Karzai was a strident critic of US bombings, decrying them as violations of Afghanistan’s sovereignty.

“They had a dedicated Civilian Casualty mitigation team that analysed each incident, they had people who made site visits,” said Ms Gossman. “Since 2014, the Civilian Casualties Team at Resolute Support is much smaller, they don’t do site visits. They don’t talk to victims, witnesses or other local sources like medical personnel.”

Resolute Support says it and the US military only investigate allegations of civilian casualties from their own actions. Those investigations may include site visits if it safe to do so and “if reasonably available information is insufficient to confirm or disprove the allegation”.

Most civilian casualties in Afghanistan are still caused by anti-government groups like the Taliban and IS and, despite the heavy bombing, it does not appear that the US has become more careless in its approach to protecting civilians. The total number of weapons dropped by the US Air Force increased by 226% from 2016 to 2017, while over the same period, civilian casualties from Afghan and US air strikes rose by 7%.

Total civilian casualties from all sources actually decreased slightly, driven in particular by a lower toll from ground offensives. So although more civilians died in air attacks, it looks like the increased air cover may have prevented the Taliban from mounting major assaults on population centres, says Kate Clark.

In any case, the Dasht-e-Archi incident should be “a wake-up call for the government, people in charge of the air force and the US trainers”, she said.

Others believe that the entire strategy of pounding the Taliban militarily is misguided. A recent BBC study found that Taliban fighters are openly active in 70% of Afghanistan.

Barnett Rubin, who served as senior adviser to the Special Representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan at the US Department of State from 2009-2013, said the air campaign was having “no strategic effect”.

“They are just fighting the same war over for the 17th time,” said Mr Rubin, who argues that a consensus between Afghanistan’s neighbours and the major powers is a pre-requisite to creating a stable Afghanistan.

The current situation “is an irreversible stalemate”, he said, adding that if it changes “in the medium to long-term, it will only change against us.”–BBC

Originally Published in Daily The Nation 

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Water crisis: Why is Pakistan running dry?

Pakistan could “run dry” by 2025 as its water shortage is reaching an alarming level. The authorities remain negligent about the crisis that’s posing a serious threat to the country’s stability, DW reports.

According to a recent report by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Pakistan ranks third in the world among countries facing acute water shortage. Reports by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and the Pakistan Council of Research in Water Resources (PCRWR) also warn the authorities that the South Asian country will reach absolute water scarcity by 2025. “No person in Pakistan, whether from the north with its more than 5,000 glaciers, or from the south with its ‘hyper deserts,’ will be immune to this scarcity,” said Neil Buhne, UN humanitarian coordinator for Pakistan.

Researchers predict that Pakistan is on its way to becoming the most water-stressed country in the region by the year 2040. It is not the first time that development and research organisations have alerted Pakistani authorities about an impending crisis, which some analysts say poses a bigger threat to the country than terrorism says DW in its report on water issue in Pakistan.

In 2016, PCRWR reported that Pakistan touched the “water stress line” in 1990 and crossed the “water scarcity line” in 2005. If this situation persists, Pakistan is likely to face an acute water shortage or a drought-like situation in the near future, according to PCRWR, which is affiliated with the South Asian country’s Ministry of Science and Technology.

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Heinous Crimes of Israel in Palestine and the Silence of the Muslim World

The topic under discussion is very critical, sensitive and it demands a lot of attention. As it is crystal clear to the world Israel is an illegal country and the entire inhabitant settler Jews in Israel have usurped the land from Palestinians. If we dare to have a meditative look in the recesses of history, it will dawn upon us that that the British in 1948 committed this heinous crime of letting the Jews settle in Philistine. Behind the creation of Philistine Dispute as well that of Kashmir, vicious masked face of the British is involved. Apparently, they pretend to be a torch bearer, but as a matter of fact, they are imperialist exploiters who leave no stone unturned ever to put the Muslims and the Muslim Ummah in deep abyss of sufferings and problems.

In Gaza Strip, the humiliating crimes of Israel are continue unabated. Infants are being massacred mercilessly. The homes of Palestinians are turned into battlefields and where the childhood of innocent Palestinians children is surrounded by the vicious shadows of missiles. Humanity is at pains there. The painful cries of innocent Palestinians children, women and men are very heart rending. If Hamas as a result of brutish attacks of Israeli Palestinian shows some sort of resistance, its responsibility is put to the innocent Palestinians and Israeli army in a ferocious way butchers the Palestinians on large scale and their houses are demolished.

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Survival of Pakistan without U.S. Aid should be our first priority

The topic under discussion is very critical, sensitive as well as having enormous importance. If the opinion of world is taken, it is very discouraging and pinching because most of the European countries rather most of the countries of the world have the conception that Pakistan is corrupt country and if she is not provided with external aid, she will collapse. Even the Americans think that Pakistan is massively dependent on them because of this imperialistic thinking America has left no stone unturned ever in maltreating and threatening Pakistan even in critical and sensitive circumstances. Same is the case with India although Indians are our neighbor yet they have always been showing enmity against Pakistan. From the inception of Pakistan they have always chalked out evil designs to harm Pakistan. The Indians reckon that Pakistan will become bankrupt and soon it will collapse but it has never happened Pakistan has survived and it will still survive.

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International Hegemony and Sorrows of Palestinians

International Hegemony and Sorrows of Palestinians

Palestine pledge called for international protection through OIC.

Leaders of Muslim nations have called for an international force to protect Palestinians, following the killing of more than 60 protesters by Israeli forces in Gaza.An extraordinary summit of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation in Istanbul voiced determination to take action against countries moving embassies to Jerusalem, as the US has done.

The Israeli–Palestinian conflict is the ongoing struggle between Israelis and Palestinians that began in the mid-20th century.The origins to the conflict can be traced back to Jewish immigration, and sectarian conflict in Mandatory Palestine between Jews and Arabs.It has been referred to as the world’s “most intractable conflict”, with the ongoing Israeli occupation of the West Bank and the Gaza Strip reaching 51 years.

Many attempts have been made to broker a two-state solution, involving the creation of an independent Palestinian state alongside the State of Israel (after Israel’s establishment in 1948). In 2007, the majority of both Israelis and Palestinians, according to a number of polls, preferred the two-state solution over any other solution as a means of resolving the conflict.Moreover, a majority of Jews see the Palestinians’ demand for an independent state as just, and thinks Israel can agree to the establishment of such a state.The majority of Palestinians and Israelis in the West Bank and Gaza Strip have expressed a preference for a two-state solution.Mutual distrust and significant disagreements are deep over basic issues, as is the reciprocal scepticism about the other side’s commitment to upholding obligations in an eventual agreement.

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Within Israeli and Palestinian society, the conflict generates a wide variety of views and opinions. This highlights the deep divisions which exist not only between Israelis and Palestinians, but also within each society. A hallmark of the conflict has been the level of violence witnessed for virtually its entire duration. Fighting has been conducted by regular armies, paramilitary groups, terror cells, and individuals. Casualties have not been restricted to the military, with a large number of fatalities in civilian population on both sides. There are prominent international actors involved in the conflict.

The two parties engaged in direct negotiation are the Israeli government, currently led by Benjamin Netanyahu, and the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO), currently headed by Mahmoud Abbas. The official negotiations are mediated by an international contingent known as the Quartet on the Middle East (the Quartet) represented by a special envoy, that consists of the United States, Russia, the European Union, and the United Nations. The Arab League is another important actor, which has proposed an alternative peace plan. Jordan, having relinquished its claim to the West Bank in 1988 and holding a special role in the Muslim Holy shrines in Jerusalem, has also been a key participant.

Since 2006, the Palestinian side has been fractured by conflict between the two major factions: Fatah, the traditionally dominant party, and its later electoral challenger, Hamas. After Hamas’s electoral victory in 2006, the Quartet conditioned future foreign assistance to the Palestinian National Authority (PA) on the future government’s commitment to non-violence, recognition of the State of Israel, and acceptance of previous agreements. Hamas rejected these demands, which resulted in the Quartet’s suspension of its foreign assistance program, and the imposition of economic sanctions by the Israelis.A year later, following Hamas’s seizure of power in the Gaza Strip in June 2007, the territory officially recognized as the PA was split between Fatah in the West Bank, and Hamas in the Gaza Strip. The division of governance between the parties had effectively resulted in the collapse of bipartisan governance of the PA. However, in 2014, a Palestinian Unity Government, composed of both Fatah and Hamas, was formed. The latest round of peace negotiations began in July 2013 and was suspended in 2014.

The 1956 Suez Crisis resulted in a short-term Israeli occupation of the Gaza Strip and exile of the All-Palestine Government, which was later restored with Israeli withdrawal. The 1967 Six-Day War exerted a significant effect upon Palestinian nationalism, as Israel gained military control of the West Bank from Jordan and the Gaza Strip from Egypt.

The first Palestinian uprising began in 1987 as a response to escalating attacks and the endless occupation. By the early 1990s, international efforts to settle the conflict had begun, in light of the success of the Egyptian–Israeli peace treaty of 1982.

The tensions between Israel and Hamas escalated until late 2008, when Israel launched operation Cast Lead upon Gaza, resulting in thousands of civilian casualties and billions of dollars in damage. By February 2009, a ceasefire was signed with international mediation between the parties, though the occupation and small and sporadic eruptions of violence continued.

In 1993, Israeli officials led by Yitzhak Rabin and Palestinian leaders from the Palestine Liberation Organization led by Yasser Arafat strove to find a peaceful solution through what became known as the Oslo peace process.

The peace process has been predicated on a “two-state solution” thus far, but questions have been raised towards both sides’ resolve to end the dispute.An article by S. Daniel Abraham, an American entrepreneur and founder of the Center for Middle East Peace in Washington, US, published on the website of the Atlantic magazine in March 2013, cited the following statistics: “Right now, the total number of Jews and Arabs living … in Israel, the West Bank, and Gaza is just under 12 million people. At the moment, a shade under 50 percent of the population is Jewish.”

Israel has had its settlement growth and policies in the Palestinian territories harshly criticized by the European Union citing it as increasingly undermining the viability of the two-state solution and running in contrary to the Israeli-stated commitment to resume negotiations.

In December 2011, all the regional groupings on the UN Security Council named continued settlement construction and settler violence as disruptive to the resumption of talks, a call viewed by Russia as a “historic step”.A report published in February 2014 covering incidents over the three-year period of 2011–2013, Amnesty International asserted that Israeli forces employed reckless violence in the West Bank, and in some instances appeared to engage in wilful killings which would be tantamount to war crimes. Besides the numerous fatalities, Amnesty said at least 261 Palestinians, including 67 children, had been gravely injured by Israeli use of live ammunition. In this same period, 45 Palestinians, including 6 children had been killed. Amnesty’s review of 25 civilians deaths concluded that in no case was there evidence of the Palestinians posing an imminent threat. At the same time, over 8,000 Palestinians suffered serious injuries from other means, including rubber-coated metal bullets.

According to a May 2011 poll carried out by the Palestinian Center For Public Opinion that asked Palestinians from the Gaza Strip and the West Bank including East Jerusalem, “which of the following means is the best to end the occupation and lead to the establishing of an independent Palestinian state”, 5.0% supported “military operations”, 25.0% supported non-violent popular resistance, 32.1% favored negotiations until an agreement could be reached, 23.1% preferred holding an international conference that would impose a solution on all parties, 12.4% supported seeking a solution through the United Nations, and 2.4% otherwise.

Despite a long-term peace process and the general reconciliation of Israel with Egypt and Jordan, Israelis and Palestinians have failed to reach a final peace agreement. The key issues are mutual recognition, borders, security, water rights, control of Jerusalem, Israeli settlements, Palestinian freedom of movement, and Palestinian right of return. The violence of the conflict, in a region rich in sites of historic, cultural and religious interest worldwide, has been the object of numerous international conferences dealing with historic rights, security issues and human rights, and has been a factor hampering tourism in and general access to areas that are hotly contested.

Israel is acting like a terrorist and breaching UN resolutions of Peace which is totally unacceptable.Oslo Accord is a workable solution.World Leaders are needed to let the peace win over conflicts and violence.


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WHAT IS THE KISHANGANGA DISPUTE?

By: Anwar Iqbal in Washington

WHAT IS THE KISHANGANGA DISPUTE?

KISHANGANGA DISPUTE

THE dispute revolves around a hydroelectric power plant on the Kishanganga River, which is a tributary of the Jhelum and is known as the Neelum in Pakistan.

On May 19, 2018, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi inaugurated the project -which includes a dam on the tributary-barely metres away from the Line of Control in the disputed Kashmir region.

The project will generate 1,713 million units of electricity per year. The dam will divert Jhelum waters to an underground power house. To do so, it will transfer the water from the Gurez Valley back into mainland Kashmir, instead of allowing it to flow into Pakistan.

The Kishanganga River flows through the regions of Neelum in AJK and Astore before entering the India-held region of Gurez. The dam will give India control over a river that flows from Pakistan into India-held Kashmir and then re-enters Pakistan.

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Simple Ways to Memorise All the Current Affairs & GK for Competitive Exams

Simple Ways to Memorise All the Current Affairs & GK for Competitive Exams

Asslam-o-Elikum and welcome to CSSTimes.pk. A lot of Aspirants have asked us…… How to get ready for General Knowledge and Current Affairs for the CSS Exams and all other Competitive Exams.

So I am sharing 4 possible Ways to reading and memorize Current Affairs and General Knowledge!

Before we set in motion you have to keep in mind a few important points regarding this:

In order to retain information about General Knowledge and Current Awareness for coming exams, constantly make sure your PERCEPTION is 100 percent clear about this.

Keep on the track and you will end up where you want to be. Never miss reading newspaper or current affairs more than a week.

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Why India wants more presence in Afghanistan | CSS Current Affairs

Why India wants more presence in Afghanistan | CSS Current Affairs

The enemy of an enemy is always a friend. In our field of study this can be termed as a strategic partner or an ally. That is the sort of relationship India is trying to build with Afghanistan. Our next door neighbour in the West is India’s dream ‘backdoor entrance’ into Pakistan. It’d be ideal for the Indians to manipulate the Afghan-Pakistan situation to their favour by buying the Afghan loyalty and using it against their one true enemy. However, unfortunately for India, we do not live in Narnia and things are not as magically easy as they would want them to be. The situation might seem to be in favour of the Indians at present since they have managed to build cordial relations with Afghanistan but it can’t be understated that an Afghanistan minus Pakistan is not possible.

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Let’s take a step back and discuss things objectively. There is no doubt about the fact that there is only one thing common amongst the otherwise divided Afghan government and that is their blame for Pakistan. They blame us for their problems. These allegations are obviously baseless but that is something to be discussed in another debate. Right now the aspect that needs to be focused on is that the Indians have no brotherly affiliation or cultural proximity with the Afghans, unlike Pakistan. They are merely trying to use their land as a playground for their massacre intended for Pakistan. Undoubtedly they are smart about it as we all know strategic planning with a hint of negativity is a part of India’s skill set and they feel no shame in using it anywhere and everywhere. Their $200 million aid to be spread over the future five years is not a step to help Afghanistan stand up on its own feet in terms of education, infrastructure, health and other aspects of a state. This is actually their attempt to have a more dependent state that comes running to India in all times of need. One can simply not ignore the wish of their Godfather and the Afghans will be no exception.

They blame Pakistan for using their land in war to gain favours from the Americans but the question is, why love India when that is exactly what they are doing as well? India is only strengthening Afghanistan up to the extent where it is stable enough to be used and manipulated against Pakistan. Yes, they are investing in their institutions in the present scenario but that is only so that they can reap what they sow in the past. There is one single reason why India wants more presence in Afghanistan, to threaten Pakistan from both sides when the time comes. It seems like all of India’s military and conventional strategies seem to be revolving around Pakistan’s lack of strategic depth. Their self-declared victory bound Cold Start Doctrine and their other regional pursuits like this venture in Afghanistan all revolves around the single advantage they have and that is Pakistan’s narrow territory. What they don’t realize is that this can and will be used in our favour as well when the time demands it.

However, despite India’s wishes and hopes there are some important factors that cannot be avoided when talking about the Pak-Indo-Afghan triangle. One of the major factors here is the ethnic, cultural and religious similarities that Afghanistan and Pakistan share. The Pashtun element between the two states is very strong and although India tries its best to maneuver this situation and highlight the aspect in negative light to create a rift between the two states and their people, this is not an easy goal to achieve. Pakistan and Afghanistan go long back and here it must be admitted that there is a certain degree of bitter taste and skepticism between the two states but that is something that can be resolved through dialogue and other diplomatic channels. Given all of that the only hurdle or might we say the only force stopping this from happening is the neighbour next door with rapidly growing hegemonic ambitions. They are willing to compromise the security and stability of the region to achieve their selfish desires and this is the only reason why they want more presence in Afghanistan.

Originally posted in: Daily Times

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Erdogan`s snap polls: bold gambit or checkmate?

Erdogan`s snap polls: bold gambit or checkmate?

With his stunning call for elections in just over two months, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is seeking to wrong-foot an unprepared opposition and capitalise on surging nationalist sentiment after his operation in Syria, analysts say.

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Erdogan and his party will be the strong favourites to win the simultaneous presidential and parliamentary polls on June 24 but may still be taking a risk against the background of a deteriorating economy.

bold gambit

The polls are significant because after the elections a new executive presidency which critics worry will give the head of state authoritarian powers will come into force.

And if he wins a new five-year mandate then Erdogan who has already been in power as premier and then president for 15 years will be able to enter a third decade in office.

`[Erdogan] wants to show he is the absolute master of the political agenda,` said Dorothee Schmid, head of the French Institute of International Relations` (IFRI) Turkey Programme.

The polls had originally been due to be held on Nov 3, 2019.

`The effect of surprise is part of his tactics to control the opposition, both inside and out, thus restoring the balance of power in his f avour,` said Schmid.

Clear favourite to win

The main opposition secular Republican People`s Party (CHP) has yet to even name its presidential candidate while the breakaway nationalist f orm ation of ex-interior minister Meral Aksener, the Iyi (Good) Party, was only set up in October.

bold gambit

The pro-Kurdish Peoples` Democratic Party (HDP), meanwhile, has been weakened by the arrests of its most prominent figures and will prioritise making the 10 percent threshold to win seats in parliament.

`Checkmate`, read the headline in pro government daily YeniSafak on its front page on Thursday.

Berk Esen, assistant professor at the department of international relations at Bilkent University in Ankara, said the timing reduced the chance of any opposition alliance that could rattle Erdogan.

`Erdogan may have wanted to go for elections before opposition parties could strike a deal on an electoral coalition.

Esen said Erdogan was the `clear f avourite to win` as the opposition lacked a game plan and, except Aksener`s party, did not even have its candidates ready.

Economic pressures

There has been a surge of nationalist sentiment in Turkey after the army prised control of the Afrin region of northern Syria from Kurdish militia after an operation ordered by Erdogan.

His Islamic-rooted ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) will fight the election in alliance with the right-wing Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) and Erdogan`s rhetoric has become more nationali st-tinge d in recent years.

But in the forefront of the mind of Erdogan a proven election fighter who has won every poll since the AKP came to power in 2002 the economy was likely to have loomed large. While growth in Turkey was 7.4 per cent in 2017, double-digit inflation, a wide current account deficit and the need for debt restructuring at top companies could be harbingers of trouble ahead.

`There is no doubt the decision was made in large part because of economic pressures and the related concern that the AKP`s and Erdogan`s popularity will slip over the course of 2018 and 2019,` said Anthony Skinner, MENA director at global risk consultancy Verisk Maplecroft.

Grown disillusioned

The government has appeared on an elec-tion footing since the start of the year with rallies hosted by Erdogan or Prime Minister Binali Yildirim almost every weekend.

And in a situation already angrily denounced by the opposition, the election will take place under the state of emergency in place since the July 2016 attempted coup, which was renewed for a seventh time on Wednesday.

`I see the decision as a calculated move, for which the costs and benefits have been carefully weighed up,` said Skinner, noting that the AKP has an `effective` public opinion polling machine.

But it will not all be smooth sailing for the AKP in a highly polarised country roughly split between supporters and opponents of Erdogan.

The executive presidency was only approved in the April 2017 referendum with 51.4 per cent of the vote, despite the `yes` vote enjoying disproportionately favourable media coverage.

This also is the first time that Erdogan has felt the need to call snap polls, although he did order an election re-run in November 2015 af ter the party lost its overall majority in June 2015 polls.

`There are voters who have been seduced by Erdogan at one point and who may have grown disillusioned because of growing authoritarianism,` said Didier Billion, deputy director of the Paris-based Institute for International and Strategic Relations.

`He may lose their voice,` he said.-AFP

Courtesy: Daily Dawn


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